Microsoft’s data shows Git pushes up 78%, developer employment up 4%. The surface story is reassuring.
The data underneath it isn’t.
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On May 7, Microsoft published data showing Git pushes surged 78% year-over-year, yet software developer employment rose 4%. That sounds like the end of the “AI will replace all developers” panic. It shouldn’t. Behind the headline numbers is a code-quality collapse, a labor market splitting in two, and a career pivot every developer needs to make before their job title outruns their skills.
The day Microsoft proved AI isn’t replacing developers, it also proved we’re drowning in code nobody understands.
Why AI should be replacing developers: the logic that makes the myth believable
The argument that AI should be shrinking the developer workforce is not stupid. It is actually the intuitive reading of the data.
Git pushes surged 78% year-over-year globally in Q1 2026. AI now accounts for 42% of all committed code, a number expected to reach 65% by 2027. If nearly half the code being written is written by machines, the logic…