Last updated: May 17, 2026, 5:10PM | Published: May 17, 2026, 12:30PM
Hawthorn will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Round 11 action at University of Tasmania Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Hawthorn vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Hawthorn vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Hawks a 72% chance of defeating the Crows at University of Tasmania Stadium.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at University of Tasmania Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Hawthorn $1.35, Adelaide $3.25
- Line: Hawthorn -18.5 ($1.91), Adelaide +18.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Hawthorn at $1.35 and Adelaide at $3.25.
The Hawks are 18.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Crows (+18.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Best Bets
Our Hawthorn vs Adelaide betting tips are based on detailed simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Hawthorn vs Adelaide at University of Tasmania Stadium on Thursday is Hawthorn prevailing 92-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Hawthorn vs Adelaide match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Hawthorn vs Adelaide game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Hawthorn vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Hawks and Crows at University of Tasmania Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Hawthorn vs Adelaide
- Date: Thursday 21 May 2026
- Time: 7:30pm AEST
- Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Hawthorn vs Adelaide predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.